Making Forecasts

Jasper Slingsby

What are ecological forecasts?


“Where are we going with all this?”

What are ecological forecasts?

Examples from the Ecological Forecasting Initiative.

What are ecological forecasts?

Can focus on any of:

  • species population sizes
  • plant or ecosystem phenology
  • land cover change
  • tree/forest die-off
  • carbon stocks and sequestration rates
  • water level/quality/temperature
  • disease spread/risk
  • fishing quotas
  • risk of bycatch of species of concern
  • risk of shipping collisions with whales
  • risk of harmful algal blooms
  • etc

Forecasting needs in the Fynbos Biome?